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Controversial COP30 Deal Offers a Critical Lift for Poorer Nations — but Sidesteps Fossil Fuels in Belém

COP30 agreement BELEM, Brazil — The Brazilian COP30 presidency worked late into the night to broker a compromise climate pact between nearly 200 nations in this Amazonian host city that increases funds for poorer countries while avoiding any direct mention of fossil fuels, Saturday, Nov. 22, 2025. The disputed package resulted from marathon talks that went through the night, taking negotiations beyond overtime and leaving both exposed states and major emitters unhappy.

Under the COP30 agreement, rich countries are to redouble — at a minimum, threefold — financing for developing countries to adapt to rising seas, droughts, floods, and extreme heat by 2035, according to an elaborate Reuters tally of the final plenary. The pledge is part of a wider Baku to Belém Roadmap that aims to raise around $1.3 trillion in climate finance each year for poorer nations.

But the text only “urges” efforts to meet them, and promises a total of around $120 billion a year in adaptation funding by 2035 — less than one-third of the roughly $360 billion that United Nations assessments, including the U.N. Environment Programme’s 2022 Adaptation Gap Report, say vulnerable countries will require. Climate campaigners and analysts, including a detailed assessment in the Guardian, have warned that, without specific commitments or timing, the finance plank of the COP30 deal will repeat past broken promises.

The main COP30 decision text, which had previously inched toward confronting coal, oil, and gas, does not even name them. Instead, Brazil issued a nonbinding side document on fossil fuels and forest protection after Saudi Arabia and other oil producers rejected any mention in the core agreement, leaving only voluntary discussions about how such a future transition might unfold.

Negotiators for the European Union had indicated they were prepared to veto a “weak” outcome that did not include a roadmap to reduce demand for fossil fuels and stop deforestation, according to Politico, adding pressure on Brazil’s presidency ahead of the final session. In the end, Brussels allowed the COP30 deal to go through but, in public, declared that it did not agree with its conclusion, presenting support for the deal as a reluctant move to keep multilateral climate talks afloat.

Among the most searing denunciations were those by Brazil’s neighbors. Colombia, Panama, and Uruguay raised objections one after the other on the plenary floor, calling it bizarre that a climate pact in 2019 would not mention fossil fuels, and the objections were bolstered thematically by effusive claps from Extinction Rebellion-aligned protesters on the sidelines who shouted “Shame.” \(2\) Because a climate pact without dealing with fossil fuel subsidies is contrary to science and makes achieving the Paris Agreement’s 1.5 degree goal impossible. Sierra Leone’s climate minister also criticized the new set of adaptation indicators as “unclear” and “not user-friendly,” cautioning that it could muddy planning for food security and other basic human needs.

U.N. climate chief Simon Stiell said he understood the frustration, but implored governments to view the compromise as evidence that the process remains relevant, telling them, “I’m not saying we’re winning this fight on climate. But we are certainly still in it, and we are fighting back.” The symbolism was underscored by the absence of an official U.S. delegation, which left the world’s largest historical emitter largely on the sidelines.

The package also establishes a Just Transition Mechanism to assist workers and communities in moving toward cleaner economies, though it remains unclear so far. It also rolls the Baku to Belém Roadmap and the still underfunded Fund for responding to Loss and Damage into the wider finance agenda, providing developing countries with new hooks on which to hang demands for the delivery of past promises at future summits.

That high-wire act reflects how much climate diplomacy has shifted over the past decade. At the COP26 meeting in Glasgow, countries agreed for the first time to “phase down unabated coal power and inefficient subsidies for fossil fuels.” Two years after that, at COP27 in Egypt, they set up a dedicated loss and damage fund to protect vulnerable nations, while the UAE Consensus agreed at COP28 saw countries agree to “transition away from fossil fuels in energy systems” this decade.

Instead, the COP30 pact relegates those earlier gains to footnotes and side avenues. A proposal by more than 80 countries to launch negotiations on a global roadmap to phase out fossil fuels was reduced to an opt-in process pushed by Brazil and Colombia, with no clear schedule or obligations — an outcome climate analysts say puts the summit’s lush Amazon location in an odd juxtaposition with its final text.

For small island and frontline nations, that gap is the difference between life and extinction. Pacific and Caribbean delegates in Belém cited bleaching coral reefs, collapsing fisheries, and intensifying storms as proof that gradual improvements were no longer sufficient, while civil society groups lambasted the deal as an “empty” or “watered-down” response that simply kicks tough choices down the road on both fossil fuels and deforestation.

One of the few points of light for many negotiators was Brazil’s Tropical Forests Forever Facility, a new conservation fund meant to compensate countries for protecting rainforests, with some set aside for Indigenous communities. With the COP30 deal, a Kawasaki official adds that Brazil’s new initiative has already received billions of dollars in early pledges, though it remains well short of the $ 125 billion Brazil wishes to mobilize over time.

For the time being, the COP30 deal offers poorer nations a less murky but still uncertain commitment to future cash and enables major fossil fuel exporters to skirt the question of production cuts. Whether these pledges turn into actual finance and the voluntary roadmaps into binding commitments will determine whether Belém is a climate justice turning point — or yet another lost opportunity in an increasingly narrow window.

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