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Brutal software selloff triggers $800B wipeout as AI fears spur cautious bargain hunting

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NEW YORK — A brutal software selloff has erased more than $800 billion in market value from the S&P 500 software and services group over the past week, extending Thursday as investors rushed out of high-multiple names. The latest wave of selling followed mounting concerns that fast-improving AI agents could compress pricing and weaken customer “stickiness,” leaving buyers selective even as valuations reset, Feb. 5, 2026.

The S&P 500 software and services index has fallen 13% in the past week and about 25% from its late-October peak, a slide that has dragged down bellwethers including Intuit, ServiceNow and Oracle, according to a Reuters analysis of the sector’s “Software-mageddon”.

What’s driving the software selloff

Much of the fear is forward-looking: investors are trying to price a world where AI does not just assist workers, but replaces some of the functions sold as software subscriptions. A new jolt came from AI startup Anthropic, whose Claude workplace plug-ins underscored how large language models are pushing into the “application layer,” helping extend a slide that had wiped about $830 billion from the group since Jan. 28, as described in Reuters’ report on the Anthropic wake-up call.

The software selloff has also fed a broader rotation away from technology leadership and toward value and defensive sectors. Some strategists have called the shift “healthy” because it reduces dependence on a narrow set of tech winners, an argument laid out in Investopedia’s look at the recent sector shakeout.

Bargain hunting, but with guardrails

Even as the software selloff has flashed technical signals that can mark a short-term bottom, many investors are demanding clearer proof that AI features translate into durable revenue. Portfolio managers say they are more willing to add “at the margin” than to make big bets until companies show stronger AI-related product traction and customers confirm they are deploying it at scale.

That caution has shown up in trading. Options activity has leaned defensive and many traders have been slow to step in, with clients “not as eager to buy dips” in software, according to Reuters’ report on missing dip-buyers during the software selloff.

A familiar valuation reset

Veteran tech investors point out that software has lived through abrupt repricings before. A May 2022 analysis by Meritech Capital on the “SaaS crash” described how rising rates and slowing growth crushed valuation multiples across public subscription-software companies.

And in August 2025, a Reuters Breakingviews column on software valuations warned that AI-driven competition and slower growth could narrow moats for many incumbents — an idea now being stress-tested in real time.

For investors, the takeaway from the software selloff is not that the sector is uninvestable, but that the bar has risen. The next round of earnings and guidance, plus concrete examples of how AI changes renewal rates, pricing and margins, will help determine whether cautious bargain hunting turns into a broader rebound.

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